It always amazes me that with all the movies I see in a year, very few of them end up nominated for anything important.
Case in point, I have seen only 4 of the 9 Best Picture nominees for 2014 - American Hustle, Gravity, Her, and The Wolf of Wall Street. I was not even aware of three of the movies (Dallas Buyers Club, Nebraska, Philomena), missed one (12 Years a Slave), and decided not to see the other (Captain Phillips).
I have seen only two of the five performances nominated for Best Actor - Christian Bale in American Hustle and Leonardo DiCaprio in The Wolf of Wall Street - and two of the five for Best Actress - Amy Adams in American Hustle and Sandra Bullock in Gravity.
I saw two of five for Supporting Actor, and only one of five for Supporting Actress.
Amazing. I will see if I can do better in the coming year.
I am confused by the presence of The Wind Rises on the Animated Feature Film nomination list. If it ever played in 2013 I'm not aware of it. IMDB lists it with a US release date of February 21.
Based on only the information I have right now, here is a list of the films or actors I think will win each category, followed by the one I would like to win, if different.
12 Years a Slave (Gravity)
Actor in a Leading Role
Matthew McConaughey (Joaquin Phoenix, who was not even nominated)
Actress in a Leading Role
Cate Blanchett (Sandra Bullock)
Actor in a Supporting Role
Bradley Cooper (Bradley Cooper)
Actress in a Supporting Role
Jennifer Lawrence (Jennifer Lawrence)
Animated Feature Film
Frozen (Normally I would vote for any Miyazaki film, but I haven't seen it, and Frozen was brilliant)
The Great Gatsby (I didn't like the movie, but it looked good)
David O. Russel for American Hustle (Alfonso Cuaron for Gravity)
American Hustle (Gravity)
Makeup and Hairstyling
Dallas Buyers Club (The Hobbit, which was not nominated)
Music - Original Score
Music - Original Song
"Let it Go" from Frozen ("Do You Want to Build a Snowman" from Frozen)
Short Film - Animated
Get a Horse! (This is the short that played before Frozen)
Writing - Adapted Screenplay
The Wolf of Wall Street
Writing - Original Screenplay
American Hustle (Her)